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    Saudi Arabia’s agricultural GDP grew 38% to $26.6bn in 2022

    Saudi Arabia’s agricultural GDP grew 38% to $26.6bn in 2022

    Arab states imported 1.73 million agricultural commodities from Egypt

    Arab states imported 1.73 million agricultural commodities from Egypt

    Wheat yield boom boosts Oman’s food security

    Wheat yield boom boosts Oman’s food security

    Saudi Arabia seeks $20 bln investment in food industry, aims to double exports

    Saudi Arabia seeks $20 bln investment in food industry, aims to double exports

    Saudi Arabia’s ambitions for food production advancement supported by ICRISAT-FAO partnership

    Saudi Arabia’s ambitions for food production advancement supported by ICRISAT-FAO partnership

    Egypt’s agriculture exports rise 17.2 percent in 5 months

    Egypt’s agriculture exports rise 17.2 percent in 5 months

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    • Business & Economy
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      Saudi: 53 new industrial licenses issued in April 2023

      Saudi: 53 new industrial licenses issued in April 2023

      Qatar’s non-oil sector maintains growth as PMI hits 53.8 in June

      Qatar’s non-oil sector maintains growth as PMI hits 53.8 in June

      Saudi transport authority approves 15 licensing, technical guides for railways

      Saudi transport authority approves 15 licensing, technical guides for railways

      Number of industrial decisions up by 10.56% to 356 in 2021

      Number of industrial decisions up by 10.56% to 356 in 2021

      Egypt’s macroeconomic conditions improving, says minister

      Egypt’s macroeconomic conditions improving, says minister

      Number of BIA passengers up by 26.90% annually YTD APRIL 2023

      Number of BIA passengers up by 26.90% annually YTD APRIL 2023

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      • CES 2017
      • Election Results
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      Oman’s health ministry expected to award construction contract for two health centres in Q3

      Oman’s health ministry expected to award construction contract for two health centres in Q3

      Properties sold in May 2023 jump 114.6%, says Qatar’s PSA

      Properties sold in May 2023 jump 114.6%, says Qatar’s PSA

      Oman releases more Sultan Haitham City details

      Oman releases more Sultan Haitham City details

      Construction activity in Saudi Arabia reaches highest level in years: Survey

      Construction activity in Saudi Arabia reaches highest level in years: Survey

      Oman gears up for its first smart city

      Oman gears up for its first smart city

      Saudi real estate ‘booming’ on big office space demand

      Saudi real estate ‘booming’ on big office space demand

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      • Energy
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        NEOM’s green hydrogen project is formally under execution: ACWA Power

        NEOM’s green hydrogen project is formally under execution: ACWA Power

        Ministry of Petroleum announces $9B investment towards oil refining and petrochemical projects

        Ministry of Petroleum announces $9B investment towards oil refining and petrochemical projects

        Oman’s huge renewable hydrogen potential can bring multiple benefits in its journey to net zero emissions

        Oman’s huge renewable hydrogen potential can bring multiple benefits in its journey to net zero emissions

        UN-HABITAT partners with LCEC, expanding efforts to provide responsible renewable energy solutions in Lebanon

        UN-HABITAT partners with LCEC, expanding efforts to provide responsible renewable energy solutions in Lebanon

        Clean energy technology manufacturing market to reach $790bln by 2030: IEA

        Clean energy technology manufacturing market to reach $790bln by 2030: IEA

        Total-led consortium to start drilling offshore Lebanon in September

        Total-led consortium to start drilling offshore Lebanon in September

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        • Hospitality
          Qatar: Over 700 hotel keys added in Q1

          Qatar: Over 700 hotel keys added in Q1

          Jordan’s tourism income surges 88% as visitors flock to the country

          Jordan’s tourism income surges 88% as visitors flock to the country

          Dubai’s hotel stock hits 150,000 keys as tourist influx from India, Russia, Oman buoys hospitality sector

          Dubai’s hotel stock hits 150,000 keys as tourist influx from India, Russia, Oman buoys hospitality sector

          Leisure sector in Qatar stronger after World Cup 2022

          Leisure sector in Qatar stronger after World Cup 2022

          Qatar has ‘solid’ line-up of infrastructure, hospitality projects to prepare for large influx of visitors in 2022: OBG

          Qatar has ‘solid’ line-up of infrastructure, hospitality projects to prepare for large influx of visitors in 2022: OBG

          Saudi to be among world’s big leisure tourism hubs by 2030

          Saudi to be among world’s big leisure tourism hubs by 2030

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        • Agrofood
          • All
          • Agriculture
          • Environment
          • Food
          Saudi Arabia’s agricultural GDP grew 38% to $26.6bn in 2022

          Saudi Arabia’s agricultural GDP grew 38% to $26.6bn in 2022

          Arab states imported 1.73 million agricultural commodities from Egypt

          Arab states imported 1.73 million agricultural commodities from Egypt

          Wheat yield boom boosts Oman’s food security

          Wheat yield boom boosts Oman’s food security

          Saudi Arabia seeks $20 bln investment in food industry, aims to double exports

          Saudi Arabia seeks $20 bln investment in food industry, aims to double exports

          Saudi Arabia’s ambitions for food production advancement supported by ICRISAT-FAO partnership

          Saudi Arabia’s ambitions for food production advancement supported by ICRISAT-FAO partnership

          Egypt’s agriculture exports rise 17.2 percent in 5 months

          Egypt’s agriculture exports rise 17.2 percent in 5 months

          Trending Tags

          • Business & Economy
            • All
            • Business
            • Economy
            • Finance
            • Industry
            • Technology
            • Trade
            • Transport & Logistics
            Saudi: 53 new industrial licenses issued in April 2023

            Saudi: 53 new industrial licenses issued in April 2023

            Qatar’s non-oil sector maintains growth as PMI hits 53.8 in June

            Qatar’s non-oil sector maintains growth as PMI hits 53.8 in June

            Saudi transport authority approves 15 licensing, technical guides for railways

            Saudi transport authority approves 15 licensing, technical guides for railways

            Number of industrial decisions up by 10.56% to 356 in 2021

            Number of industrial decisions up by 10.56% to 356 in 2021

            Egypt’s macroeconomic conditions improving, says minister

            Egypt’s macroeconomic conditions improving, says minister

            Number of BIA passengers up by 26.90% annually YTD APRIL 2023

            Number of BIA passengers up by 26.90% annually YTD APRIL 2023

            Trending Tags

            • CES 2017
            • Election Results
            • eSports
          • Construction
            • All
            • Infrastructure
            • Real Estate
            Oman’s health ministry expected to award construction contract for two health centres in Q3

            Oman’s health ministry expected to award construction contract for two health centres in Q3

            Properties sold in May 2023 jump 114.6%, says Qatar’s PSA

            Properties sold in May 2023 jump 114.6%, says Qatar’s PSA

            Oman releases more Sultan Haitham City details

            Oman releases more Sultan Haitham City details

            Construction activity in Saudi Arabia reaches highest level in years: Survey

            Construction activity in Saudi Arabia reaches highest level in years: Survey

            Oman gears up for its first smart city

            Oman gears up for its first smart city

            Saudi real estate ‘booming’ on big office space demand

            Saudi real estate ‘booming’ on big office space demand

            Trending Tags

            • Energy
              • All
              • Oil & Gas
              • Power & Electricity
              • Renewable Energy
              NEOM’s green hydrogen project is formally under execution: ACWA Power

              NEOM’s green hydrogen project is formally under execution: ACWA Power

              Ministry of Petroleum announces $9B investment towards oil refining and petrochemical projects

              Ministry of Petroleum announces $9B investment towards oil refining and petrochemical projects

              Oman’s huge renewable hydrogen potential can bring multiple benefits in its journey to net zero emissions

              Oman’s huge renewable hydrogen potential can bring multiple benefits in its journey to net zero emissions

              UN-HABITAT partners with LCEC, expanding efforts to provide responsible renewable energy solutions in Lebanon

              UN-HABITAT partners with LCEC, expanding efforts to provide responsible renewable energy solutions in Lebanon

              Clean energy technology manufacturing market to reach $790bln by 2030: IEA

              Clean energy technology manufacturing market to reach $790bln by 2030: IEA

              Total-led consortium to start drilling offshore Lebanon in September

              Total-led consortium to start drilling offshore Lebanon in September

              Trending Tags

              • Hospitality
                Qatar: Over 700 hotel keys added in Q1

                Qatar: Over 700 hotel keys added in Q1

                Jordan’s tourism income surges 88% as visitors flock to the country

                Jordan’s tourism income surges 88% as visitors flock to the country

                Dubai’s hotel stock hits 150,000 keys as tourist influx from India, Russia, Oman buoys hospitality sector

                Dubai’s hotel stock hits 150,000 keys as tourist influx from India, Russia, Oman buoys hospitality sector

                Leisure sector in Qatar stronger after World Cup 2022

                Leisure sector in Qatar stronger after World Cup 2022

                Qatar has ‘solid’ line-up of infrastructure, hospitality projects to prepare for large influx of visitors in 2022: OBG

                Qatar has ‘solid’ line-up of infrastructure, hospitality projects to prepare for large influx of visitors in 2022: OBG

                Saudi to be among world’s big leisure tourism hubs by 2030

                Saudi to be among world’s big leisure tourism hubs by 2030

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              IFP Info - News
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              Oil to average $50 to $70 through 2022: Bank of America Merrill Lynch report

              TradeArabia

              March 1, 2017
              in Oil & Gas
              0
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              Brent crude oil prices will average $50 to $70 per barrel (/bbl) through 2022, according to an annual medium-term supply/demand analysis conducted by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML).

              While global oil consumption has expanded by 3.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in the past two years, oil prices have recovered mostly thanks to Opec and key non-Opec players putting an end to a two year price war and agreeing to cut production by 1.8 million b/d, BofAML said in its latest “Global Energy Paper”.

              So Opec spare capacity has expanded, the report noted. Moreover, US shale production is now poised to recover on improved efficiencies following the rebound in longer-dated WTI prices above $50/bbl.

              Demand will conservatively grow by 1.1 million b/d per year

              If medium-term oil prices were to fall below the $50 to $70/bbl band, oil supply rationing and rapid EM demand growth should push prices higher.

              “Above it, we see a surge in global oil supplies and EM demand destruction curbing any additional price gains,” BofAML said in the report.

              After all, Brent crude oil prices remain at one of the lowest levels in real terms in decades. The share of energy consumption as a per cent of global GDP averaged just 3.5 per cent in 2016, the lowest level since 1999.

              As such, cheap oil will likely encourage strong demand growth ahead. “In our forecast to 2022, we see global oil consumption conservatively expanding at a rate of 1.1 million b/d per annum on average through 2022, driven entirely by EMs. Admittedly, carpooling, electric vehicles, or autonomous driving could slow demand, but low oil prices should also discourage fast technological adoption,” the report said.

              Opec loses market share to US shale if prices are over $55

              “On the supply side, we believe US shale oil producers will come out ahead and deliver outsized market share gains by 2022. Assuming a gradual recovery in oil prices into a long-term average of $50 to $70/bbl, we project annual US shale oil growth of 700 thousand b/d in 2017-22,” BofAML said.

              “In addition to US shale, we see some growth in Brazil, Russia, Kazakhstan and Canada. Net, non-Opec supply growth should average 830,000 b/d annually with 80 per cent of incremental gains coming from the US.

              “With non-Opec poised to grow again, we estimate Opec will need to increase oil output by just 400k b/d on average every year to meet demand through 2022. While Opec could grow production faster, cartel revenue will likely be higher if no additional investments are made compared to scenarios where increased Opec production leads to lower prices.”

              Key factors affecting prices

              The BofAML report highlights downside risks to its forecast: (1) trade protectionism and an EM demand slowdown, (2) a strong USD period ahead, (3) further productivity gains in US shale, or (4) a renewed oil price war between Opec and other global suppliers.

              In contrast to last year, BofAML notes the upside risks to its view: (1) faster-than-expected global oil demand growth, (2) steeper-than-expected production decline rates following the collapse in global E&P capex, (3) increased geopolitical risks, and (4) accelerating global inflation.
              TradeArabia
              1 March

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